Seasonal variability of rainfall extremes     

Trevor Dickinson 《大气与海洋》2013,51(4):288-296

Monthly rainfall extremes have been analyzed for three stations in Southern Ontario. The double exponential probability distribution was fitted to the extreme values for each month considered, each duration selected, and sets of annual extremes. A station‐year approach yielded monthly and annual extreme value distributions for the lumped region of Southern Ontario. The analysis has revealed a pronounced seasonal pattern in the rainfall extremes – the amount of rain expected with a selected probability of occurrence during the summer being considerably greater than the rainfall that might be expected to be exceeded at the same probability level during the spring or fall. The extent of the seasonal variability was found also to vary with duration. The implications of the variability are seen to be significant for the estimation of the magnitude and frequency of floods.  相似文献   

Galaxies in clusters: the observational characteristics of bow shocks, wakes and tails     

Ian R. Stevens  David M. Acreman  Trevor J. Ponman 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》1999,310(3):663-676

The dynamical signatures of the interaction between galaxies in clusters and the intracluster medium (ICM) can potentially yield significant information about the structure and dynamical history of clusters. To develop our understanding of this phenomenon we present results from numerical modelling of the galaxy–ICM interaction, as the galaxy moves through the cluster. The simulations have been performed for a broad range of ICM temperatures ( kT _cl=1, 4 and 8 keV), representative of poor clusters or groups through to rich clusters.
There are several dynamical features that can be identified in these simulations. For supersonic galaxy motion, a leading bow shock is present, and also a weak gravitationally focused wake or tail behind the galaxy (analogous to Bondi–Hoyle accretion). For galaxies with higher mass replenishment rates and a denser interstellar medium (ISM), the dominant feature is a dense ram-pressure stripped tail. In line with other simulations, we find that the ICM/galaxy–ISM interaction can result in complex time-dependent dynamics, with ram-pressure stripping occurring in an episodic manner.
In order to facilitate this comparison between the observational consequences of dynamical studies and X-ray observations we have calculated synthetic X-ray flux and hardness maps from these simulations. These calculations predict that the ram-pressure stripped tail will usually be the most visible feature, though in nearby galaxies the bow shock preceding the galaxy should also be apparent in deeper X-ray observations. We briefly discuss these results and compare them with X-ray observations of galaxies where there is evidence of such interactions.  相似文献   

Optical depth,size distribution and flux of dust from Owens Lake,California     

Tezz C. Niemeyer  Dale A. Gillette  John J. DeLuisi  Young J. Kim  William F. Niemeyer  Trevor Ley  Thomas E. Gill  Duane Ono 《地球表面变化过程与地形》1999,24(5):463-479

A joint United States/Russian/French collaborative experiment was undertaken in March 1993 and March 1996. Projects LODE I and II (Lake Owens Dust Experiments) took place on the anthropogenically desertified playa (dry lakebed) and surrounding regions of Owens Lake, in east-central California. One of the five parts of Project LODE was to determine relationships between optical depth and flux of dust emitted from the dry lake. Project LODE II included subsequent dust plume measurements and size distributions obtained through April 1996, to further refine the flux measurements for distinct mineral aerosol source regions at Owens Lake. Size distributions of dust aerosol were determined and aerosol optical depths were calculated from sunphotometer solar extinction measurements taken downwind in plumes coming from the emissive areas of Owens Lake. This source was visually observed for 10 measured dust storms. The plume mass was calculated to be 1·5 × 10⁹ g using ground-based measurements and ≥1·6 × 10⁹ g from satellite data. Project LODE II results were found to be consistent with LODE I results for the south end of the playa, but flux values were found to be reduced for the northeastern portion of the playa by comparison. Vertical flux values estimated by sunphotometry were found to be consistent with values estimated via a micrometeorological method. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Wall building stiffness and strength effect on content sliding in Wellington seismic conditions          下载免费PDF全文

Trevor Z. Yeow  Gregory A. MacRae  Rajesh P. Dhakal 《地震工程与结构动力学》2017,46(6):1023-1042

A numerical study of unobstructed content sliding within several low‐to‐midrise reinforced concrete cantilever wall buildings designed to Wellington conditions in New Zealand is performed to validate the belief that increasing a building's strength and/or stiffness would result in more severe sliding response. It was shown that contents within stronger buildings experienced larger sliding response. If the building was designed to be strong, the sliding response of contents with a friction coefficient of 0.1 was smaller in stiffer buildings compared with those in flexible buildings. However, the trends start reversing with an increase in friction coefficient or a decrease in building strength. Overall, content sliding is not necessarily more severe in stiffer buildings, and in many cases, the opposite is true. This study's findings were compared against an existing parametric equation for estimating the maximum sliding displacement. This equation, which was originally derived for contents located within elastic frame buildings, was found to be more efficient than considering total floor accelerations alone but was underconservative by a mean of 17% for yielding multistorey buildings. A design procedure considering content sliding using the parametric equation and an example are provided. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

A modified morphodynamic model for investigating the response of rivers to short-term climate change     

Patrick M. Verhaar  Pascale M. Biron  Robert I. Ferguson  Trevor B. Hoey 《Geomorphology》2008,101(4):674-682

Near-future climate change will affect the discharge and base level of rivers and thus cause channel changes. The nature and pace of such changes can be simulated using morphodynamic models. As part of an investigation of how the changing hydrology of the St-Lawrence River, Quebec, Canada, will affect its tributaries we have made additions and modifications to a one-dimensional morphodynamic model developed for gravel-bed rivers (SEDROUT). The changes allow simulation of sand-bed rivers, variable discharge, downstream water level fluctuations, and flow and sediment routing in channels with islands. A revised formulation for calculating the grain size distributions of the surface and subsurface material is presented to allow for alternating sedimentation and erosion. We test the enhanced model using small-scale simulations and present-day conditions in four tributaries of the St-Lawrence River. The model is calibrated and validated for the tributaries and the capability to simulate river morphology over a 100-year period is tested. Good validation agreement on water level, cross-sectional mean velocity, and sediment transport rate is obtained for the four tributaries of the St-Lawrence River. With these modifications, modelling a very wide range of river morphodynamic problems is now possible.  相似文献